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~ Get Free Ebook Chaos and Order In the Capital Markets (Wiley Finance Editions), by Edgar E Peters

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This conceptual work introduces the mathematics of fractals and chaos theory and applies them to investments and economics. The text notes a shift away from efficient capital markets and examines the concept of a chaotic economic system which exists on volatility rather than equilibrium.

Sales Rank: #1327340 in Books
Published on: 1991-11
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 9.50" h x 6.25" w x .75" l,
Binding: Hardcover
254 pages

From the Publisher
This edition of a Wiley classic brings Chaos completely up-to-date with timely examples from today's markets and descriptions of the related cutting-edge technologies such as genetic algorithms, wavelets, complexity theory and hot innovations, such as fuzzy logic and artificial intelligence. Contents include: non-linear dynamics, fractals, rescales range (R/S) analysis and a case-by-case analysis of the capital markets using chaos models and updated examples.

From the Back Cover
The latest developments in chaos theory - from an industry expert

Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets was the first book to introduce and popularize chaos as it applies to finance. It has since become the classic source on the topic. This new edition is completely updated to include the latest ripples in chaos theory with new chapters that tie in today's hot innovations, such as fuzzy logic, neural nets, and artificial intelligence.

Critical praise for Peters and the first edition of Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets

"The bible of market chaologists." - BusinessWeek

"Ed Peters has written a first-class summary suitable for any investment professional or skilled investor." - Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities

"It ranks among the most provocative financial books of the past few years. Reading this book will provide a generous payback for the time and mental energy expended." - Financial Analysts Journal

This second edition of Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets brings the topic completely up to date with timely examples from today's markets and descriptions of the latest wave of technology, including genetic algorithms, wavelets, and complexity theory.

Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets was the very first book to explore and popularize chaos theory as it applies to finance. It has since become the industry standard, and is regarded as the definitive source to which analysts, investors, and traders turn for a comprehensive overview of chaos theory. Now, this invaluable reference - touted by BusinessWeek as "the bible of market chaologists" - has been updated and revised to bring you the latest developments in the field.

Mainstream capital market theory is based on efficient market assumptions, even though the markets themselves exhibit characteristics that are symptomatic of nonlinear dynamic systems. As it explores - and validates - this nonlinear nature, Chaos and Order repudiates the "random walk" theory and econometrics. It shifts the focus away from the concept of efficient markets toward a more general view of the forces underlying the capital market system.

Presenting new analytical techniques, as well as reexamining methods that have been in use for the past forty years, Chaos and Order offers a thorough examination of chaos theory and fractals as applied to investments and economics. This new edition includes timely examples from today's markets and descriptions of cutting-edge technologies-genetic algorithms, wavelets, complexity theory-and hot innovations, such as fuzzy logic and artificial intelligence.

Beyond the history of current capital market theory, Chaos and Order covers the crucial characteristics of fractals, the analysis of fractal time series through rescaled range analysis (R/S), the specifics of fractal statistics, and the definition and analysis of chaotic systems. It offers an in-depth exploration of:
* Random walks and efficient markets - the development of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and modern portfolio theory
* The linear paradigm - why it has failed
* Nonlinear dynamic systems - phase space, the Henon Map, Lyapunov exponents
* Applying chaos and nonlinear methods - neural networks, genetic algorithms
* Dynamical analysis of time series - reconstructing a phase space, the fractal dimension

Tonis Vaga's Coherent Market Hypothesis - the theory of social imitation, control parameters, Vaga's implementations

Plus, Chaos and Order now contains a Windows-compatible disk including data sets for running analyses described in the appendices.

Written by a leading expert in the field, Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets has all the information you need for a complete, up-to-date look at chaos theory. This latest edition will undoubtedly prove to be as invaluable as the first.

About the Author
EDGAR E. PETERS is an expert on chaos theory and its financial applications. He is Chief Investment Strategist and Director of Systematic Asset Allocation for PanAgora Asset Management, Inc., a global investment management firm. He is a frequent lecturer on market theory, and has taught investment and portfolio management at Babson College, Boston College, and Bentley College. In addition to the first edition of Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets, he is the author of Fractal Market Analysis and numerous articles in professional journals.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
4 stars
By KT
This book receives 4 stars because it has made a serious attempt to apply non-linear models to financial markets. However, financial markets are incredibly difficult to model and a constant moving target. Since 2008, and after the colossal sums of money continue to be printed to rig ALL markets to provide illicit gains for the banks and their chief (the Fed), most attempts to model markets and use quant model will likely prove futile or short-lived.

45 of 45 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent overview
By A Customer
Most probably there are two types of people who won't like this book. First, if you are a research scientist with a lot of experience in the field, you'll probably find the material a bit too "easy" (you know, people who write "it's easy like a senior undergrad math texbook" in their reviews). Certainly, you can learn a lot of the same stuff from original papers. On the other hand, learning from research papers is not the most efficient way (I have an M.S.(astrophysics)/B.S.(physics), and still get headaches reading them), and this book provides a great overview. Now I read the original papers from the link above with much better understanding. The second category who won't enjoy the book is dyed-in-the-wool "practitioners" in search of a magic formula. I don't think this book can be directly applied to creating a trading system. On the other hand, it will help you understand the markets better, which won't hurt your financial success. While the knowledge that S&P 500 has a fractal dimension of 1.26 won't give you too much edge, understanding that there is a strong statistical evidence for trending in the markets (e.g. Hurst exponent substantially > 0.5) can be an extra reason for the head of your trading firm yelling at you when you refused to cut your losses or to hold on to your winners. But, again, the book is mostly useful in the same sense as the philosophy class you took in college: it gives you a fresh perspective and lets you look at the world from a different angle.
In short, if you are interested in the markets and are not totally averse to science, you'll like this book a lot. It's the first book in finance which I found hard to put down. The text is written on an introductory level, explaining all new concepts. There are a lot of graphs and numerical results related to the market, and the author's thoughts and observations are most fascinating.

13 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Good overview, bad balance
By A Customer
If you're looking for a purely conceptual introduction to how chaos theory can be applied to financial markets, this book is as good a source as any. Peters's discussion of R/S statistics and the graphical examples drawn from the markets are clear and intuitive (Ch. 7-8). The key point demonstrating long-term memory effects in the market is well made.
However he spends an inordinate amount of time attacking the foundations of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) to the point of being boring, yet the argument boils down to "it has errors when compared to reality". Duh, so does every other theory, including fractal. The real issue is "for the error in theory A, how bad are the results X, and is theory B much better at it?" If you're not going to do that, don't spend 40 pages (Ch. 1-4) on it. This is misleading to those not familiar with EMH, and boring to those who are.
Don't look to this book for good math. In my edition (1991), careless and erroneous notations abound. Also, the equations are written in BASIC notation which is notoriously hard to visualize, but this is probably the fault of the editor/publisher. Peters makes frequent and unannounced jumps between the apparent rigor of math and loose conjectures. The math is distracting to a qualitative reader, and the conjectures irritating to the quantitative one. Better to cater to one audience, and do it well.
Still, I would recommend this book as a good conceptual introduction to the subject. But if you're planning to go deeper, use the equations in this book at your own perils. Go to the source.

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* Get Free Ebook Lithium Chemistry: A Theoretical and Experimental OverviewFrom Wiley-Interscience

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An up-to-date, comprehensive guide to LITHIUM CHEMISTRY

Although lithium has been the subject of numerous individual studies, this intriguing element has rarely been examined from the broad perspective many researchers require. Lithium Chemistry: A Theoretical and Experimental Overview fills this void by providing the most thorough and up-to-date overview available of current theories and experimental data.

Supported by nearly two hundred illustrations, this book draws upon the expertise of prominent researchers in the field, and treats the full range of modern applications and techniques. The result is a unique and invaluable guide to lithium studies for researchers and graduate students working in the fields of organic, inorganic, and organo-metallic chemistry.

Lithium Chemistry: A Theoretical and Experimental Overview assumes a background in quantum chemistry and experimental physical chemistry at the graduate level and includes coverage of these major topics:
* Bonding, structures, and energies in organolithium compounds
* Theoretical studies of aggregates of lithium compounds
* Comparison of lithium and hydrogen bonds
* Lithium atom matrix reactions with small molecules
* NMR of organolithium compounds
* Aspects of the thermochemistry of lithium compounds
* The structure of lithiated amines and lithiated ethers--from carbanions to carbenoids
* Complexes of inorganic lithium salts
* Structures of lithium salts of heteroatom compounds
* Synthetic ionophores for lithium ions

Sales Rank: #5814247 in Books
Published on: 1995-05
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 9.57" h x 1.38" w x 6.34" l, 2.34 pounds
Binding: Hardcover
595 pages

From the Publisher
The applications of lithium--the lightest of the alkali metal elements--are numerous and diverse, ranging from its use as an anti-depressant to its use as a heat-transfer medium in nuclear reactors. This book fills the need for an up-to-date treatment of this important element, stressing basic principles and current research. Bringing together the work of internationally recognized experts, this work covers the applications of quantum chemical methods, separation and identification methods, X-ray crystallography data, lithium matrix reactions with small molecules via infrared techniques, thermochemistry factors and more. Includes 190 illustrations.

From the Back Cover
An up-to-date, comprehensive guide to LITHIUM CHEMISTRY

Although lithium has been the subject of numerous individual studies, this intriguing element has rarely been examined from the broad perspective many researchers require. Lithium Chemistry: A Theoretical and Experimental Overview fills this void by providing the most thorough and up-to-date overview available of current theories and experimental data.

Supported by nearly two hundred illustrations, this book draws upon the expertise of prominent researchers in the field, and treats the full range of modern applications and techniques. The result is a unique and invaluable guide to lithium studies for researchers and graduate students working in the fields of organic, inorganic, and organo-metallic chemistry.

Lithium Chemistry: A Theoretical and Experimental Overview assumes a background in quantum chemistry and experimental physical chemistry at the graduate level and includes coverage of these major topics:

Bonding, structures, and energies in organolithium compounds
Theoretical studies of aggregates of lithium compounds
Comparison of lithium and hydrogen bonds
Lithium atom matrix reactions with small molecules
NMR of organolithium compounds
Aspects of the thermochemistry of lithium compounds
The structure of lithiated amines and lithiated ethers—from carbanions to carbenoids
Complexes of inorganic lithium salts
Structures of lithium salts of heteroatom compounds
Synthetic ionophores for lithium ions

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Senin, 27 April 2015

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This sequel has been thoroughly updated to cover current government procurement rules affecting consultants along with a broad range of marketing, financial, professional and ethical issues. Features the latest in computer and office equipment with tips on purchasing the right product. A complete ``Reference File'' contains suggested books, periodicals, consultants' organizations, public speaking contacts and much more.

Sales Rank: #7478755 in Books
Published on: 1993-04-05
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 9.37" h x 1.37" w x 6.32" l, 1.10 pounds
Binding: Hardcover
416 pages

From the Inside Flap
The world of consulting is constantly changing in response to shifting economic realities and new technologies. In this new edition of the classic guide How to Succeed as an Independent Consultant, expert David Zahn updates Herman Holtz’s sage advice to fit the new business landscape and take account of developments affecting the business.

No matter what your field of expertise, How to Succeed as an Independent Consultant will help you win clients through a variety of practical, proven techniques you’ll find only here. Packed with real-world, effective business-driving tactics–as well as up-to-the-minute advice on getting the most out of new technologies–this helpful guide will show you how to market yourself in new ways, soar over IRS hurdles, and grow your home-office operation into a thriving practice. Information added to this edition also addresses the special concerns of internal consultants–those professionals who work in-house, but provide the same service and expertise as outside consultants.

With helpful details and step-by-step advice, How to Succeed as an Independent Consultant will show you how to:

Launch your consulting career–from finding assignments to leveraging your skills
Use three simple rules to succeed spectacularly at your first client meeting
Prepare for any sales situation and avoid common pitfalls when delivering your pitch
Manage your finances, including insurance and taxes, so you can keep your business above-board and in the black
Understand the latest ideas in marketing–and how to use the Internet, e-mail, and other technologies to attract more clients
Write an air-tight proposal
Affordably produce your own press releases, brochures, and other sales and promotional materials
Get the best deal possible when you negotiate fees and contracts
Maintain the highest ethical standards for every project

Independent consulting is more popular than ever and competition is fierce. How to Succeed as an Independent Consultant gives you a head start and a lasting edge with fully actionable advice you’ll find in no other book. Updated with the help of readers just like you, this new edition is more useful, helpful, and comprehensive than ever.

From the Back Cover
The classic guide to consulting–now updated and more comprehensive than ever!

This latest edition of the independent consultant’s bible addresses all the ways the business of consulting has changed since the last edition–including new information on using the Internet for marketing and on the special concerns of internal consultants. Full of no-nonsense, step-by-step techniques for setting up your consultancy and bringing in clients, this helpful, handy guide will show you how to:

Find more leads and close more deals
Leverage technology to meet business needs and enhance productivity
Market yourself and your services more effectively than ever–online and offline
Write effective proposals that sell your ideas
Make a winning impression in meetings with new clients
Win over clients by knowing what to listen for when discussing potential projects
Control your cash flow and spot the warning signs of trouble
Excel at public speaking and give killer presentations
Negotiate, set fees, and draft contracts so you come out ahead
Deal successfully with the IRS
Uncover new profit centers you didn’t know about

About the Author
HERMAN HOLTZ was a nationally recognized authority on business and consulting, and the author of more than forty-five business and professional books.

DAVID ZAHN is a preeminent authority on consulting. He is the cofounder of Clow Zahn Associates, a consultancy whose clients have included Kraft, Coors, Hallmark, RJ Reynolds, Johnson & Johnson, Campbell’s, Tropicana, Dr. Pepper, Ocean Spray, Nabisco, and many others.

Most helpful customer reviews

11 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Good Reference book for starting a consulting firm
By J. Storchan
I have been reading this book and others as a reference to help me start a consulting business. I would think that someone who is going into business as a consultant would know a little about business so I skipped over those chapter. I found marketing, finding the clients, and creating the environment for the sale important. The issue on contracts and what to charge extremely important to my future. Unfortuantely I am starting a marketing and sales consulting firm and I found little to no reference on examples. This book is primarily for engineers, accounts, and attorneys.
I will always keep this book as a valued reference as I add clients to my clients.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Have a "Successful" Consulting Business, Want to keep it or Improve it?
By Terry Martin
IF you want to run a Successful Consulting Business this is your Reference Book! Read it and read it again, put it on your library shelf and refer to it often when needed!

17 of 17 people found the following review helpful.
The Best book on Consultating
By A Customer
I picked this book up, not because I am a consultant, but because I am an executive at a company that uses consultants frequently. I was hoping to spot in these pages all of the "tricks of the trade" that consultants use so that I would be a smarter customer of consulting services. As someone that occasionally loathes, and infrequently appreciates the perspectives of so-called outside experts, I was pleasantly disappointed (yes, pleasantly disappointed) to see that what Holtz and Zahn are suggesting in these chapters is non-manipulative, ethical, and above board practices that in no way try to take advantage of a customer that is not as sophisticated as perhaps they need to be. I was disappointed because I wanted to be armed with ways of combatting what I perceive to be the car salesman approach taken by far too many of the consultants I have worked with in my career. Perhaps the fault is as much mine as the consultants we hired. Maybe I have to spend more time doing exactly what this book recommends consultants do when it comes to; scoping out projects, ensuring agreement on objectives, managing project timelines, and agreeing on how to fairly compensate the consultant for his or her assistance. I found this book pleasant in that it convinced me that not all consultants are cut out of the cloth of the "give me your watch and I will tell you what time it is" type. Seeing what the consultant is SUPPOSED to be doing when engaging with a client (me) and being able to compare that to what happens in my company makes me want to buy this book for a few of our most senior executives and dog-ear those pages that they need to read. The chapters on how to set up a business, accounting, and other organizational necessities were initially of little interest to me as my focus was on the actual working with the consultant, but even those chapters were enlightening in that I better understand why the consultants we use pressure me about some things and not others. The point made about cash flow being critical to the success of the consultant over and above other issues was not something I would have realized on my own. Now that it was explained, I can understand and appreciate it better.

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Kamis, 23 April 2015

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Workplace initiatives to manage diversity seek to fully develop the potential of each employee and turn their unique skills into a business advantage. Such fostering of difference enhances team creativity, innovation and problem-solving and is therefore an essential strategy for today's employers.

Individual Diversity and Psychology in Organizations is an indispensable handbook for all those involved in managing diversity. Its academic and practice-oriented perspective is unique as it presents practical strategies and case studies alongside academic reviews, giving the reader a balanced overview of each topic. The team of expert authors examine international issues in diversity, such as:

Strategies for managing organizational effectiveness Legal and psychological implications
Diversity training and its effectiveness Disability, racial equality, age and gender diversity Affirmative action
Recognizing stereotypes and bias
Business ethics
The Future of diversity

This much needed handbook will be welcomed by researchers, academics and students in organizational psychology, management and business. It will also be of great use to professionals in human resources, equal opportunities management and management consultancy.

Sales Rank: #7621975 in Books
Published on: 2003-10-10
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 9.98" h x 1.15" w x 6.91" l, 1.93 pounds
Binding: Hardcover
434 pages

From the Back Cover
Workplace initiatives to manage diversity seek to fully develop the potential of each employee and turn their unique skills into a business advantage. Such fostering of difference enhances team creativity, innovation and problem-solving and is therefore an essential strategy for today’s employers.

Individual Diversity and Psychology in Organizations is an indispensable handbook for all those involved in managing diversity. Its academic and practice-oriented perspective is unique as it presents practical strategies and case studies alongside academic reviews, giving the reader a balanced overview of each topic. The team of expert authors examine international issues in diversity, such as:

Strategies for managing organizational effectiveness
Legal and psychological implications
Diversity training and its effectiveness
Disability, racial equality, age and gender diversity
Affirmative action
Recognizing stereotypes and bias
Business ethics
The Future of diversity

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Senin, 20 April 2015

^ Free Ebook The Big Fix: Inside the S&L Scandal - How an Unholy Alliance of Politics and Money Destroyed America's Banking System, by James Ring Adams

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Presents the inside story of the rash of failures of savings-and-loan institutions in the 1980s, written in a hard-news style by a nine-year veteran of The Wall Street Journal. Names the players in this game of monopoly where the money is real, including those highly-placed figures in government and finance. Documented here is a twisted tale of impotent regulation, financial mismanagement, political manipulation, fraud, and outright plunder.

Sales Rank: #2648236 in Books
Published on: 1990-01-16
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 2.28" h x 1.30" w x 1.46" l,
Binding: Hardcover
308 pages

From Library Journal
Adams, a free-lance journalist whose articles have appeared in The Wall Street Journal and Barron's , examines the current savings and loan debacle by looking at the history of American banking from the Great Depression to the present. Generally, the information here is similar to that offered in the other recently published books on this subject: Steven Pizzo and others' Inside Job ( LJ 9/15/89) and Paul Zane Pilzer with Robert Dietz's Other People's Money ( LJ 11/15/89 ) . All three books collectively provide a comprehensive history on this timely subject.
- Steven J. Mayover, Free Lib. of Philadelphia
Copyright 1990 Reed Business Information, Inc.

Most helpful customer reviews

12 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
Not What You Think
By John G. Hilliard
This in an interesting book and not one that only focuses on the nightly news sound bite about the S&L in Texas with three speed boats. This author examines why the S&L situation happened. The answers he uncovers do not paint the picture that the politicians want us all to think too much about. Basically the Federal government changes the rules in relation to capital requirements for S&L based on pressure from contributors and a Reagan policy of deregulate everything. Once that happened the mess started. The biggest mistake the government made was deregulating a business that they were on the hook for if they went under. The vast majority of S&L's were actually doing fine until even more regulation came out regarding capital requirements - all in all the politicians had as much to do with the issue as the bankers. The book is much better at explaining this then me, if you are interested in the topic or would like to broaden your understanding of the issues I would start here.

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Rabu, 15 April 2015

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Herbert J. Stern, nationally recognized trial lawyer and accomplished teacher of trial techniques, will show you how to win cases.

In Trying Cases to Win, Stern elaborates on the techniques he's made famous in his seminars and videos as he commits to print his methods and strategies for trying cases to win.

"He masterfully weaves these guiding principles into a new way of life for the trial lawyer. You would not want this book to get into the hands of your adversary." --Jeffrey D. Robertson, New York, NY

In this volume, Stern takes you through a variety of direct examination techniques that will keep you in control and in charge, driving home his points using transcripts from a broad variety of cases that bring his philosophy to life.

Sales Rank: #2240084 in Books
Published on: 1992-06
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 9.00" h x 6.25" w x 1.25" l,
Binding: Hardcover
480 pages

From the Publisher
Volume I discusses the theories and philosophies of litigating cases in direct and cross examination. Volume II implements these methods of conducting direct examination in order to assure a flawless presentation of the case. The author uses trial transcripts from some of the greatest trial lawyers of the past century to illustrate these techniques. Volume III shows the attorney how to argue the case through opposition witnesses, convert the information provided on direct examination to the benefit of the cross examiner's case and limit the direct testimony so it is not detrimental. Also incorporates actual case excerpts and explanations of the techniques. Volume IV defines the ``real'' purpose of summation, outlining the limitations and using actual case studies. Instructs attorneys to teach jurors how to argue their position for them against adversaries in the jury room.

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2 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
Judge Stern unmasks the secrets of winning in court.
By A Customer
Herbert J. Stern, a fomer federal prosecutor and judge, reveals the winning techniques of direct-examination. This is the second of his four-book series on winning trial advocacy. It, like the others, is a page turner. After you read this book, you will want to try every case. It is a "must read" for every trial lawyer

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Senin, 13 April 2015

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Alzheimer's Disease is an ever present problem affecting millions of people around the world and, as people's average lifespan lengthens, its prevalence is set to increase. A global effort is needed to combat the disease, including research to investigate the causes, development of effective treatments and, ultimately, prevention of the disease. Published every two years, these timely books discuss the very latest research.

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Sales Rank: #7100862 in Books
Published on: 2001-05-09
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 9.11" h x 2.18" w x 6.18" l, .0 pounds
Binding: Hardcover
888 pages

Review
"Articles are divided into seven sections on epidemiology and risk factors.... About 400 contributors lend expertise to this professional compendium and contact information is provided for at least one author of every article." (SciTech Book News, Vol. 25, No. 4, December 2001)

From the Back Cover
Alzheimer's Disease is an ever-present problem affecting millions of people around the world and, as people's average lifespan lengthens, its prevalence is set to increase. A global effort is needed to combat the disease, including research to investigate the causes, development of effective treatments and, ultimately, prevention of the disease. Published every two years, these timely books discuss the very latest research. This new volume in the series:

Provides a uniques source of reference to the important work being done in this field
Gives academics and clinicians an opportunity to learn about cutting edge developments
Covers all aspects of Alzheimer's Disease, including diagnosis, clinical course, epidemiological course and therapeutics and disease mechanisms.

Alzheimer's Disease: Advances in Etiology, Pathogenesis and Therapeutics and Therapeutics will provide essential information for basic and clinical researchers in Alzheimer's Disease and other dementias as well as for those who care for patients.

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In the mid-1960s geotechnical engineers paid the highest liability insurance of any profession and by 1969 were virtually uninsurable. As a result, the ASFE was founded and helped these engineers not only lower their insurance rates, but get to the point where, by 1980, they were the least liability-prone members of the design profession. Now, John Bachner and the ASFE tell all other design professionals how to accomplish the same task. This book, which incorporates the ASFE's Introduction to Professional Practice program for advancing architects' and engineers' knowledge of professional practice issues, addresses almost every aspect of the design professionals' practice as they relate to liability, from procedures for verifying the accuracy of technical output to steps for improving client and project selection, workscope development, personnel training and dispute resolution.

Sales Rank: #1608459 in Books
Published on: 1991-03-14
Ingredients: Example Ingredients
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 9.57" h x 1.14" w x 6.32" l, 1.63 pounds
Binding: Hardcover
400 pages

From the Publisher
In the mid-1960s geotechnical engineers paid the highest liability insurance of any profession and by 1969 were virtually uninsurable. As a result, the ASFE was founded and helped these engineers not only lower their insurance rates, but get to the point where, by 1980, they were the least liability-prone members of the design profession. Now, John Bachner and the ASFE tell all other design professionals how to accomplish the same task. This book, which incorporates the ASFE's Introduction to Professional Practice program for advancing architects' and engineers' knowledge of professional practice issues, addresses almost every aspect of the design professionals' practice as they relate to liability, from procedures for verifying the accuracy of technical output to steps for improving client and project selection, workscope development, personnel training and dispute resolution.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Pleased with purchase
By Sorya Ross
Came quickly, book had different cover than image shown, but content was the same. I'm pleased with my purchase.

0 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
John is Great!
By A Customer
John is my step dad, and he can write really well. This book he told me, was to prevent lawsuits to engineers. I read some of it and thought it was an excellent read. I think that all engineers should own a copy. I also love, John!

See all 2 customer reviews...

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READ ALL ABOUT IT!

David Spiegelhalter has recently joined the ranks of Isaac Newton, Charles Darwin and Stephen Hawking by becoming a fellow of the Royal Society. Originating from the Medical Research Council’s biostatistics unit, David has played a leading role in the Bristol heart surgery and Harold Shipman inquiries.

Order a copy of this author’s comprehensive text TODAY!

The Bayesian approach involves synthesising data and judgement in order to reach conclusions about unknown quantities and make predictions. Bayesian methods have become increasingly popular in recent years, notably in medical research, and although there are a number of books on Bayesian analysis, few cover clinical trials and biostatistical applications in any detail. Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation provides a valuable overview of this rapidly evolving field, including basic Bayesian ideas, prior distributions, clinical trials, observational studies, evidence synthesis and cost-effectiveness analysis.
Covers a broad array of essential topics, building from the basics to more advanced techniques.

Illustrated throughout by detailed case studies and worked examples
Includes exercises in all chapters
Accessible to anyone with a basic knowledge of statistics
Authors are at the forefront of research into Bayesian methods in medical research
Accompanied by a Web site featuring data sets and worked examples using Excel and WinBUGS - the most widely used Bayesian modelling package

Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation is suitable for students and researchers in medical statistics, statisticians in the pharmaceutical industry, and anyone involved in conducting clinical trials and assessment of health-care technology.

Sales Rank: #1451332 in Books
Published on: 2004-01-16
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 9.37" h x 1.10" w x 6.24" l, 1.70 pounds
Binding: Hardcover
408 pages

Review
"This is a terrific book and should be on the shelf of every professional that works in clinical trials or health-care evaluation. It gives a thorough pragmatic introduction to Bayesian methods for health-care interventions, provides many example along with data and software to reproduce the analyses, guides readers to areas where Bayesian methods are particularly valuable, and includes an excellent set of exercises." (Journal of the American Statistical Association, June 2009)

"Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation' is a clear and comprehensive text for biostatisticians who want to understand and apply Bayesian statistical methods to clinical research." (Journal of Clinical Best Practices, Nov 2008)

"…an indispensable resource for all students and investigators who plan to incorporate Bayesian methods into their research." (The Annals of Pharmacotherapy, January 2005)

"...a valuable resource for libraries, and those who are involved in quantitative health care evaluation..." (Royal Statistical Society, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005)

"...The technical material is presented in an accessible style, and the examples given clearly illustrate the principles under discussion..." (Short Book Reviews, Vol.24, No.3, December 2004)

"...Bayesian analysis seems set to reach a wider audience with the publication of [this] introductory level text..." (Financial Times, 16 April 2004)

"...very well laid-out and easy to follow...a very good resource for teaching students..." (Statistical Methods in Medical Research, Vol 14, 2005)

"I would use with pleasure and interest this book as a textbook..." (Metron Journal, Vol.63, No.2, 2005)

"...I can pay the authors no higher tribute than to say that I would be proud to have written this book. It is elegant and it is destined to becoming a classic in the field." (Statistics in Medicine, 15th July 2005)

"...a generous supply of exercises...I recommend it very highly..." (Clinical Trials, No.1 2004)

"...Bayesian analysis seems set to reach a wider audience with the publication of [this] introductory level text..." (Financial Times, 16 April 2004)

"...a generous supply of exercises...I recommend it very highly..." (Clinical Trials, No.1 2004)

From the Back Cover
The Bayesian approach involves synthesising data and judgement in order to reach conclusions about unknown quantities and make predictions. Bayesian methods have become increasingly popular in recent years, notably in medical research, and although there are a number of books on Bayesian analysis, few cover clinical trials and biostatistical applications in any detail. Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation provides a valuable overview of this rapidly evolving field, including basic Bayesian ideas, prior distributions, clinical trials, observational studies, evidence synthesis and cost-effectiveness analysis.

Covers a broad array of essential topics, building from the basics to more advanced techniques.

Illustrated throughout by detailed case studies and worked examples.
Includes exercises in all chapters.
Accessible to anyone with a basic knowledge of statistics.
Authors are at the forefront of research into Bayesian methods in medical research.
Accompanied by a Web site featuring data sets and worked examples using Excel and WinBUGS - the most widely used Bayesian modelling package.

About the Author
Porf. Adrams' research includes: The development and application of Bayesian methods in healthcare evaluation, systematic reviews and meta-analysis and The joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data. He has considerable experience of undertaking pradmatic TCT's and systematic reviews in a variety of settings, including cardiology, gastroenology, oncology and reproductive medicine.

Most helpful customer reviews

38 of 38 people found the following review helpful.
a welcome new book on an important topic
By Michael R. Chernick
Clinical research in the US is heavily regulated by the FDA to insure that safe and effective products including drugs vaccines and medical devices come to market and that the clinical trials expose products that either are unsafe, ineffective or both. In recent years with the advent of Bayesian hierarchical models that have posterior distributions of the model parameters determined by Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, the FDA has accepted the use of Bayesian approaches in medical devices and there seems to be some progress in the area of pharmaceuticals as well.

This book is a welcome addition to the literature on applied Bayesian methods. The authors provide a clear description of the methods and how they can be applied to clinical trials and health economic studies. It is very timely to have such a great reference since industrial statisticians are in need of learning and applying the techniques.

9 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
Bayes for Health Technology Assessment
By BC
This is an excellent introduction to Bayesian methods for anyone conducting health technology assessment, meta-analysis, and health economic analysis. Even if you're not a Bayesian, it adds depth and perspective to universal concepts such as statistical power, generalizability, and hypothesis testing. The chapters on cost-effectiveness and evidence-synthesis will be invaluable to anyone conducting pharmacoeconomics models or health technology assessments of pharmaceuticals or medical devices.

See all 2 customer reviews...

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